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11 October 2018Insurance

Hurricane Michael losses expected at up to $4.5bn

Hurricane Michael made landfall as a Category 4 hurricane along the Florida Panhandle coast yesterday (Oct. 10) and is expected to have caused damage from wind and storm surge in the range of $2 billion to $4.5 billion, according to CoreLogic estimates.

The total loss estimate is broken down into $1.5 billion-$3 billion residential losses and $0.5 billion-$1.5 billion commercial losses. The estimates are based on the pre-landfall forecast.

According to National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA), the maximum sustained winds of hurricane Michael were at 155mph, 2mph short from becoming a category 5 storm. Michael is the strongest hurricane to hit the Florida Panhandle since 1900 and the strongest hurricane to make landfall in the US since Hurricane Andrew in 1992, CoreLogic noted.

Storm surge damage can be expected from Mobile, AL to Tampa, FL, with the maximum storm surge anticipated to be east of Panama City to coastal cities south of Tallahassee, CoreLogic said.

As Michael is a fast-moving storm it does not have the same amount of rainfall associated with it as experienced with Florence or Harvey. This is not anticipated to be a large inland flooding event, but there will be localized areas of flooding, CoreLogic noted.

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More on this story

Insurance
12 October 2018   Insured losses from Hurricane Michael will be close to $8 billion, according to catastrophe modelling agency Karen Clark & Company (KCC).
Insurance
11 October 2018   Reinsurers are likely to bear the brunt of the losses caused by hurricane Michael, KBW's Meyer Shields suggested in a research note.
Insurance
9 October 2018   Insurers and reinsurers exposed to hurricane Michael in Florida are likely to be only modestly impacted by hurricane Michael because of their typically high reinsurance protection, according to KBW.